I Asked Bill Gates What's The Next Crisis?


疫情爆发以来,比尔·盖茨 2015年对传染病的一次预测演讲,不断被人们重新提起。这些顶尖大佬对信息的把控、和对未来的预测能力,再次刷新了我们的认知。Youtube科普大神Veritasium最近找到机会,对盖茨进行了一次深度专访,请他预测并解读了这次、以及“人类的下一次危机”...... 

Derek: So how did it feel to make this prediction and then have the world essentially not listen and not prepare?

Bill Gates: Well there's no good feeling that comes on something like this saying I told you so.

If anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it's most likely to be a highly infectious virus rather than a war.

You know I just think back and could I have been more persuasive.

We've actually invested very little in a system to stop an epidemic.

We're not ready for the next epidemic.

Derek: How did you make such a prescient prediction?

How did you know this was going to happen?

BGBill Gates): Well there's a number of respiratory viruses and from time to time one will come along that's very transmissive and causes some level of fatalities.

Respiratory diseases are very scary because you're still walking around on a plane, a bus when you're infectious unlike some other diseases like ebola where you're mostly in a hospital bed by the time the viral load infects other people.