The logic is post hoc ergo propter hoc.

这个逻辑完全是个谬误。

This quirk is called the sunk cost fallacy.

这种怪癖被称为“沉没成本谬误”。

That’s Dr Catherine Loveday. So what’s a fallacy, Alice?

上述是凯瑟琳·洛芙迪博士教授的观点。那什么是谬误呢？

The challenge here is that it's easy to be seduced into the baseline fallacy.

但这很容易会导致基线谬误。

Is lying about small things the start of a slippery slope?

上撒谎是滑坡谬误的开始吗？

The key is something called the base rate fallacy.

关键于所谓的基本率谬误。

The conjunction fallacy isn't just a problem in hypothetical situations.

谬误不是一个仅存于假设情况下的问题。

But hate is a very slippery slope.

但憎恨心理是一种滑坡谬误。

Hot hand fallacy is the concept of streaks.

热手谬误是关于手气的概念。

The search for facts can sometimes lead to fiction.

对大脑的认识过程中会混杂一些谬误。

And then there's also this fallacy of correlation that our brain assumes is causation.

还有一种相互关联的谬误，我们的大脑认为这就是因果关系。

This is a phenomenon known as the conjunction fallacy.

这个现象就是所谓的 谬误（交集偏误）。

The conjunction fallacy isn’t just a problem in hypothetical situations.

谬误并不只是 假设情境中才会发生的问题。

One common tactic is what philosophers call, " The Straw Man" fallacy.

一种常见的策略是哲学家所说的“稻草人”谬误。

Mr Bradshaw argues that the theory behind this approach is based on bad and outdated science.

布拉德肖认为这种训狗方式背后的指导思想是过时的谬误理论。

Finally, there's the unqualified authority fallacy.

最后，还有无条件权威谬误。

We can catch informal fallacies by learning to recognize the most common ones.

我们可以通过学习识别最常见的谬误来捕捉非正式的谬误。

The baseline fallacy is the idea that it's the current business model which is the low-risk bet.

基线谬误就是会让你觉得，目前的商业模型的风险是最低的。

Those are the reasons why it's a good idea to do it, but it is a slippery slope.

所以这些是做这个节目的很好的理由，但是这不是滑坡谬误。

I think one of the great fallacies is the whole idea of using computers as an analogy to brains.

我认为其中一个最大的谬误就是把计算机比作大脑。